The future isn't what it used to be

  • Thread starter jtbell
  • Start date
  • Tags
    Future
In summary, The predictions for 2020 about nanobots, ape chauffeurs, and flights to Pluto have been proven to be incorrect. Despite hopes and expectations for flying cars, they have not become a common mode of transportation, and the use of jetpacks remains limited. Futurists often fail to consider the complexities and unforeseen problems involved in their predictions, and advancements in technology do not always follow a linear path. The recent issues with the Boeing MCAS highlight the dangers of disregarding potential problems in favor of profit. While AI may play a role in the future of flying cars, it is unlikely that pilots will ever be completely removed from commercial airplanes. Ultimately, the future is unpredictable and subject to change.
  • #1
jtbell
Staff Emeritus
Science Advisor
Homework Helper
15,944
5,891
Nanobots, ape chauffeurs and flights to Pluto. The predictions for 2020 we got horribly wrong (cnn.com)

And we still don't use flying cars to get to work. :cry:

jetsons.jpg
 
Physics news on Phys.org
  • #2
jtbell said:
And we still don't use flying cars to get to work.
I am really upset about that. I hoped that when most people take to flying cars, the traffic on the roads would decrease, and I would finally find space on the roads to practice driving without fifty other cars honking around me. :sad:
 
  • #3
jtbell said:
And we still don't use flying cars to get to work. :cry:
Can you imagine - today's drivers with an extra dimension to contend with? :nb)
 
  • Like
  • Haha
Likes Rubidium_71, DennisN and 2milehi
  • #4
Ibix said:
Can you imagine - today's drivers with an extra dimension to contend with?

Leave control of s flying cars to AI it would seem a better application than to ground based autonomous vehicles. GPS provides enough accuracy to define suitable travel corridors and with cares in constant communication with neighbors and no pedestrians to worry about accidents "should be" very rare.
 
  • #6
Among the reasons why futurists so often get predictions wrong is that those who make such predictions fail to take into account the complexities involved in the outstanding problems which their predictions are said to solve or address. AI predictions are among the best example of this.

This should make us pause among those who are attempting to make predictions for the future 50 years ahead.
 
  • Like
Likes gleem
  • #7
As far as I know the Boeing MCAS is not an AI application. It does point to the ever present problem of human fallibility and greed and the willingness of corporations to disregard seemingly remote problems (and neglecting the advice of experts) in favor of making a buck. That said however it it also a fact that in the deployment of any new technology there will be problems only realized after its introduction.
 
  • Like
Likes russ_watters
  • #9
People extrapolate from recent history, a main reason why predictions made 40-50 years ago of rapidly expanding space travel, moonbases etc came from expecting progress in spaceflight to follow a similar pattern as air travel did during its first 50 years, which went from the Wright bros to jets

now everyone expects new technologies to ramp like IT (‘its all like Moore’s law!’) which creates similarly overoptimistic predictions
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Likes PeroK
  • #10
gleem said:
As far as I know the Boeing MCAS is not an AI application.
This is correct. Maybe even more to the point, commercial airplanes have already been [capable of being] essentially fully autonomous robots for decades. There's really nowhere else for them to go in terms of developing the automation. I think we are unlikely to ever remove or reduce the pilots.
 
  • #11
jtbell said:
The future isn't what it used to be!
... and it never has been
 
  • Like
Likes david2

Related to The future isn't what it used to be

What does the phrase "The future isn't what it used to be" mean?

The phrase "The future isn't what it used to be" means that our expectations and predictions for the future have changed or shifted in some way. It suggests that the future is not going to turn out the way we thought it would.

Why is the future constantly changing?

The future is constantly changing because it is influenced by a variety of factors such as technological advancements, societal changes, and unexpected events. These factors can alter our perceptions and expectations of the future, making it different from what we originally thought it would be.

What are some examples of how the future has changed in the past?

Examples of how the future has changed in the past include the development of new technologies such as the internet and smartphones, shifts in cultural norms and values, and unforeseen events like natural disasters or political upheavals. These changes have significantly impacted our visions of the future and how it will unfold.

How can we prepare for a future that is constantly changing?

To prepare for a constantly changing future, we must be adaptable and open-minded. This means being willing to learn new skills and embrace new ideas, as well as being able to adjust our plans and expectations as needed. It's also important to stay informed and aware of current events and trends that may impact the future.

Is it possible to accurately predict the future?

While we may be able to make educated guesses and projections about the future, it is impossible to accurately predict every detail. The future is constantly changing and influenced by a multitude of factors, making it difficult to predict with complete accuracy. However, we can use data and trends to make informed predictions and prepare for potential outcomes.

Similar threads

Replies
1
Views
1K
Replies
142
Views
7K
  • General Discussion
Replies
4
Views
1K
  • Science Fiction and Fantasy Media
Replies
3
Views
1K
Replies
10
Views
2K
  • General Discussion
4
Replies
107
Views
8K
Replies
10
Views
583
Replies
2
Views
2K
Replies
24
Views
1K
  • Science Fiction and Fantasy Media
Replies
13
Views
2K
Back
Top