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ComputerGeek
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http://sciam.com/article.cfm?chanID=sa003&articleID=000051A6-DE14-1419-9E1483414B7F0000
Well, what do you all think?
Well, what do you all think?
Skeptics called other factors into account, such as natural variability, but a new statistical analysis shows that only this sea surface temperature increase explains this trend.
It was caused by variations in the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation. There was also wind shear, and warmer winds coming from Africa that were more favorable for cyclone formation in the Atlantic.ComputerGeek said:http://sciam.com/article.cfm?chanID=sa003&articleID=000051A6-DE14-1419-9E1483414B7F0000
Well, what do you all think?
No it doesn't, its a crack site.smurfslappa said:This article makes for some good reading.
http://pesn.com/2005/10/21/9600193_Wilma_Energy_from_the_Vacuum/
The electromagnetic freeze "ray" is beaming the energy away fast. The amount here is equal the detonation of a 20 megaton Hydrogen bomb every few minutes. To strip the planet of this much heat this fast requires an ionic short circuit into deep space.
If this hasn't confused you, then you are well on your way to understanding hurricanes and similar storms. It also removes any doubt that there is plenty of energy around to be used. This is the fast trip into the wild and wooly side of physics that is not popular with the tired old heads that dominate the field. (Don't bother those guys! They are mean and they don't take evidence well.
It was caused by variations in the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation. There was also wind shear, and warmer winds coming from Africa that were more favorable for cyclone formation in the Atlantic.
Hey dand, welcome to Physicsforums!I think the number of cyclones ejecting from the "african train" was about average and that combined with little pacific tampering (no El Nino) allowed most of them to develop into storms. But it should be noted that what was particularly astounding about last hurricane season was the number of storms that became strong enough to be named and that is directly related to warm water temperatures.
dand5 said:I think the number of cyclones ejecting from the "african train" was about average and that combined with little pacific tampering (no El Nino) allowed most of them to develop into storms. But it should be noted that what was particularly astounding about last hurricane season was the number of storms that became strong enough to be named and that is directly related to warm water temperatures.
Mk said:No it doesn't, its a crack site.
Presuming that the "African train" are easterlies coming from North Africa, they are not the main cause, but create more favorable conditions for cyclone development.reasonmclucus said:Then how do you explain Hurricane Vince which developed into a hurricane over water that was under 80 F or 26 C?
2006 hurricane season bows out quietly
MIAMI, Florida (CNN) -- Defying predictions, the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season ended with a whimper rather than a bang on Thursday, without a single hurricane hitting U.S. shores.
The forecasters' crystal balls were made cloudy by the unexpected formation of the El Nino phenomenon in the Pacific Ocean in midsummer, weather experts said. Even the most sophisticated computer models couldn't see El Nino coming to dampen tropical activity in the Atlantic
"This year, our August forecast was the first August forecast ever to over-forecast the activity," Bell said. "So this is not a common thing."
This year was also unusual because no tropical systems formed at all in October. That is the first time that has happened since 1994, according to the hurricane center.
But despite this year's respite, forecasters are quick to point out that hurricane activity moves in cycles and the Atlantic basin remains in a very active area that could last another 20 years.
PC/8 in 2007.2 has El Niño potential. As the date 2007.2 is closer to 2006/2007 than to 2007/2008 it is to be expected that El Niño will already emerge around July 2006 and last at least till May 2007 (Probability 80 %).
Statistical analysis is a method used to collect, organize, analyze, interpret, and present data. It involves using mathematical models and techniques to identify patterns and relationships in the data.
Statistical analysis can be used to analyze historical data on hurricane frequency, intensity, and location, as well as ocean temperature data. By comparing and correlating these variables, we can determine if there is a relationship between warmer oceans and the occurrence of more severe hurricanes.
Some commonly used statistical methods in this type of analysis include regression analysis, time series analysis, and correlation analysis. These methods help identify trends, patterns, and relationships in the data.
One limitation is that statistical analysis can only identify correlations and cannot prove causation. Additionally, there may be other factors that contribute to the occurrence of hurricanes, such as wind patterns or atmospheric conditions, which must also be considered in the analysis.
The findings from this statistical analysis can inform disaster preparedness and response efforts, as well as climate change mitigation strategies. They can also be used to educate the public and policymakers about the potential impacts of warmer oceans on hurricane activity.